Early Win Total Odds Predicts Losing Season for WVU Football in 2025

Despite Rich Rodriguez’s confidence, the low national expectations for WVU football in 2025 continue to roll in. And as of mid May, one major sportsbook has set West Virginia’s win total at a number that would leave West Virginia without any hope of any postseason.

FanDuel has WVU’s current win total at only 5.5, which is tied with three other Big 12 programs for the lowest in the conference. Arizona, Oklahoma State, Houston and UCF are also listed at 5.5 while Cincinnati, Colorado and TCU sit at 6.5.

The Mountaineers also opened the week at +5000 to win the Big 12 title. As of early May with the entire summer to go, there’s only one program viewed as less likely than WVU to win the 2025 Big 12 championship. Arizona currently has the lowest odds at +6500. Oklahoma State and UCF share the +5000 odds with West Virginia.

Circa Sports has WVU at just 5 for their win total over/under. This is tied for their worst in the Big 12 with Oklahoma State.

Big 12 regular season over/under win totals via @CircaSports

Arizona State 8½
Kansas State 8½
Texas Tech 8½
Baylor 7½
BYU 7½
Iowa State 7½
Kansas 7½
Utah 7½
Houston 6½
TCU 6½
Cincinnati 6
Colorado 6
Arizona 5½
UCF 5½
Oklahoma State 5
West Virginia 5

— Brett McMurphy (@Brett_McMurphy) May 14, 2025

“I think our staff has done a good job. I think we have one or two spots left open, but in this ever-changing world of college athletics, it’s been really crazy. But I’ve said this many times. The goal post will move, we gotta move with it,” Rodriguez told WV Sports Now’s Mike Asti directly about having to make tough decisions on who to cut and who to bring in.

What Are the Early Odds for WVU Football to Win the Big 12 Title?

“We gotta do everything we can to try to improve our roster every day, not every month but every day.”

While Rodriguez brought West Virginia conference titles and major bowl wins during his first tenure, the Mountaineers are coming off the program’s worst six-year stretch since before Don Nehlen arrived in 1980.

West Virginia failed to even achieve one single ranking in the Associated Press under Neal Brown – they did finish the 2023 season ranked No. 25 in the Coaches Poll.

Despite a complete overhaul of the roster and having to implement a new culture, Rodriguez believes West Virginia can compete for a national championship. In fact, Rodriguez admitted he wouldn’t have accepted the job without being sold on WVU’s plan to succeed at the highest level.

“I think if the rev share comes in and the so-called salary cap comes in, it’ll give some sense of fairness across the board.”

However, no matter what happens, Rodriguez just simply believes it can happen, even if some think he’s crazy.

“I believe in our state. I believe in our university. I believe in our coaches. And I believe in our program. You look at Arizona State that went from worst to first in the Big 12. We could do the same thing.”

For a related story, WV Sports Now chronicles what went right and what went wrong for WVU football during the offseason?